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It’s the end of the year as we know it

Posted by Kathleen Maher on January 28th 2015 | Discuss
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Companies position themselves for growth in 2015 and beyond At the end of 2014, the future is looking brighter if you can ignore all the war, disease, and despair that’s going on around our little play land of technology. The technology companies have weighed in with their product strategies, and they’re confidently plotting courses of growth for new markets and new industries. Forward-looking software companies are giddy over the promise of a huge base of mobile users who are taking their work with them via tablets and phones. Mobile has also opened up many more use cases for the cloud. For…

CES no longer a leading indicator

Posted by Jon Peddie on January 20th 2015 | Discuss
Tags: ces peddie

Now what do we do? We thought we had really stumbled onto something when we recognized a correlation between the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) and the attendance at CES: when CES attendance fell, so did the DJIA. That gauge worked up until 2013 and then failed in 2014 and again in 2015. Damn.  All things considered, I’d much rather the DJIA went up faster than the attendance at CES. I think CES is too crazy big and unmanageable now. I think it should be broken up into three or four shows: one for cars, one for TVs and hi-fi as…

Predictions for 2015 and beyond

Posted by Jon Peddie on January 6th 2015 | Discuss
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This is the time of year when soothsayers, financial forecasters, conspiracy theorists, and brilliant industry analysts polish their crystal balls and let the rest of you uninformed and ill-advised know what to expect for and during the next 12 months.  None of these predictions will be realized. I could stop here but just want to make the point that predicting the future is about as sensible as trying to undo the past. We continue to attempt both all the time; we’re a bit more successful with the future. 1. We will see the first completely wireless notebook computers: power, second display,…

Why there is nothing to fear from AI

Posted by Jon Peddie on December 23rd 2014 | Discuss
Tags: ai artificial intelligence

It’ll never happen in your lifetime? It’s simple: A: By the time we develop any new functionality we incorrectly call AI, it will no longer be the benchmark for what we think AI is, and so we’ll never realize AI. B: Since we don’t yet understand the workings of the brain, or biology, how can we possibly build something to replicate or surpass it? What we are calling AI, or sometimes “deep-learning,” today are actually expert systems. First developed in the early 1970s, these systems mimic a function or two (or n) that a human can do, or would like to…

On things

Posted by Jon Peddie on December 9th 2014 | Discuss
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If they are going to talk to each, what will they say? Things, we have so many things. Bridges that design and build themselves, cute little computers in our glasses and light bulbs, presumably all talking to each other over the Internet, sucking up valuable bandwidth and annoying the NSA. And there will be cars that take you where you should go, not necessarily where you want to go (thereby dramatically reducing road-rage incidents). The idea of sitting in an autonomously driven car that is traveling over an autonomously de-signed and built bridge, past a generatively designed organic-looking building while texting…

Why gaming is a proxy for the PC market

Posted by Jon Peddie on November 25th 2014 | Discuss
Tags: gaming hp peddie pc gaming sony ps4 alienware

Or maybe a leading indicator You can’t point to a single event like the big bang, but sometime late last year there was a renaissance, a rejuvenation, a revolution in the world of computer gaming, across multiple platforms, price points, performance, and personal use.  Some of the sparks of the renaissance can be attributed to two new game consoles introduced with x86 architecture, a new gaming OS from Steam, a push into handheld gaming by Android-based games with serious 3D FPS playability, and smart TVs that become their own console. Alienware and dozens of new gaming laptops also rejuvenated the PC,…

From sharing to virtualizing in just under 60 years

Posted by Jon Peddie on November 12th 2014 | Discuss
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A technology whose time has come, has been with us for a long time  With its introduction in the 1960s and emergence as the prominent model of computing in the 1970s, time-sharing represented a major technological shift in the history of computing—many users being able to share one computer. The sharing was done on a time-sharing basis called a slice. Later developments modified that approach to load bearing and priority interrupts, but the basic concept of sharing a single resource was unchanged. (The concept was first described publicly in early 1957 by Bob Bemer (CHK) as part of an article in…

Future visions in the third quarter

Posted by Kathleen Maher on October 29th 2014 | Discuss
Tags: idf ptc q3 google io

The third quarter this year was a good quarter for looking at future technologies apparently. Many of the companies we follow held either their large event of the year or strategic meetings in which they unveiled secret plans. In many cases we were treated to extravagant technology promises. Google I/O of course was wild with magical watches and instant 3D envi¬ronments. But, the company to watch is PTC, which is steadfastly reinventing itself. The company is building tools for developing IoT products and you know, that’s just brilliant. Everyone is talking about the millions and millions of these things out there…

It’s time to get excited about 4K

Posted by Jon Peddie on October 22nd 2014 | Discuss
Tags: tv hd 4k uhd tv lcd plasma

The days of being a denier are over There are three things needed to get a market going: demand, supply, and affordability. When a new market segment is opened, the world pretty much splits into two main camps: naysayers and enthusiasts. Within each camp are the curious and the fearful. When 4K was introduced, the naysayers were quick to announce it was too expensive, there was no content, and there was no content delivery system. They also might have said there was limited supply, and a lot of them said you can’t see the difference, or why do we need this…

Made any 4K videos lately?

Posted by Jon Peddie on October 8th 2014 | Discuss
Tags: 4k

Do you remember when YouTube first hit the scene? Do you remember people saying, Who the hell wants that? Why would I want to look at some dopey home video? How will they ever make money? and all the other usual tripe that narrow-minded people spout when confronted with something new and different. Today, of course, they’re wishing they had bought shares in the company then.  Since then it’s gone from an $11 million startup to a company valued at $40 billion and in the process made a lot of smart moves and bets. One of them is its 4K channel.…